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JILL THOMAS

RE/MAX REAL ESTATE
 
Market Commentary
September 2007

 
WHAT IS THE MARKET DOING?     
 
“Edmonton’s once-torrid housing market is showing clear signs of cooling off”, says Gary Lamphier of the Edmonton Journal.
 
“With Alberta’s economy still red hot, oil prices remaining high, and $150 billion worth of oilsands projects, upgraders and related work in the pipeline, no one is forecasting anything like an ‘80s-style housing crash.  In fact, quite the opposite.  According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s latest forecast, average local MLS prices for all of 2007 will undoubtedly show healthy gains, even if second-half prices are basically flat.
 
“Moreover, CMHC and most local builders predict another strong year for the housing market in 2008 once the resale market manages to digest the current bloated inventory of unsold homes.  That will take a couple of quarters to happen, they figure.  And that could give buyers the upper hand, at least for a while.  Speculators who hoped to flip properties for a quick profit may not be so lucky.  Gregg Becker, Jayman MasterBuilt’s Edmonton-area general manager says “I don’t really want to use the word ‘softening’ because I think this is more of a normalizing market.  We were superheated, and now we’re coming down to something that’s more reasonable.”
 
I HAVE HEARD …
 
The reason for the softening in the market place is the need for the oil producers and steel manufacturers to get the service providers back into line in terms of costs.
 
Once the production starts again in the fall, the market will continue along more normal lines.  The unusually high inventory is a result of higher than average property listings in May, June and July.  There were 4,331 residential properties listed in August which is up 63% from the previous August (2657)!  There were 9,185 homes of all types available as of August 31, 2007.
 
 
458-4800
======= news.html
JILL THOMAS
RE/MAX REAL ESTATE
 
Market Commentary
September 2007

 
WHAT IS THE MARKET DOING?     
 
“Edmonton’s once-torrid housing market is showing clear signs of cooling off”, says Gary Lamphier of the Edmonton Journal.
 
“With Alberta’s economy still red hot, oil prices remaining high, and $150 billion worth of oilsands projects, upgraders and related work in the pipeline, no one is forecasting anything like an ‘80s-style housing crash.  In fact, quite the opposite.  According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s latest forecast, average local MLS prices for all of 2007 will undoubtedly show healthy gains, even if second-half prices are basically flat.
 
“Moreover, CMHC and most local builders predict another strong year for the housing market in 2008 once the resale market manages to digest the current bloated inventory of unsold homes.  That will take a couple of quarters to happen, they figure.  And that could give buyers the upper hand, at least for a while.  Speculators who hoped to flip properties for a quick profit may not be so lucky.  Gregg Becker, Jayman MasterBuilt’s Edmonton-area general manager says “I don’t really want to use the word ‘softening’ because I think this is more of a normalizing market.  We were superheated, and now we’re coming down to something that’s more reasonable.”
 
I HAVE HEARD …
 
The reason for the softening in the market place is the need for the oil producers and steel manufacturers to get the service providers back into line in terms of costs.
 
Once the production starts again in the fall, the market will continue along more normal lines.  The unusually high inventory is a result of higher than average property listings in May, June and July.  There were 4,331 residential properties listed in August which is up 63% from the previous August (2657)!  There were 9,185 homes of all types available as of August 31, 2007.
 
 
458-4800
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